Understanding climate-change adaptation on Kakadu National Park, using a combined diagnostic and modelling framework: A case study at Yellow Water wetland

Leo X.C. Dutra, Peter Bayliss, Sandra McGregor, Peter Christophersen, Kelly Scheepers, Emma Woodward, Emma Ligtermoet, Lizandra F.C. Melo

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper describes a semi-quantitative approach for the assessment of sea-level rise (SLR) impacts on social-ecological systems (SES), using Yellow Water wetland on Kakadu National Park as a case study. The approach includes the application of a diagnostic framework to portray the existing SES configuration, including governance structures, in combination with qualitative modelling and Bayesian belief networks. Although SLR is predicted to cause saltwater inundation of freshwater ecosystems, cultural sites and built infrastructure, our study suggested that it may provide also an opportunity to bring together Indigenous and non-Indigenous knowledge and governance systems, towards a commonly perceived threat. Where feasible, mitigation actions such as levees may be required to manage local SLR impacts to protect important freshwater values. In contrast, adaptation will require strategies that facilitate participation by Kakadu Bininj (the Aboriginal people of Kakadu National Park) in research and monitoring programs that enhance understanding of salinity impacts and the adaptive capacity to respond to reasonably rapid, profound and irreversible future landscape-scale changes.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1146-1158
Number of pages13
JournalMarine and Freshwater Research
Volume69
Issue number7
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Wetlands
Climate Change
Oceans and Seas
sea level
Ecosystem
national parks
national park
wetlands
wetland
climate change
governance
case studies
Fresh Water
Water
historic sites
modeling
indigenous peoples
indigenous population
water
freshwater ecosystem

Cite this

Dutra, Leo X.C. ; Bayliss, Peter ; McGregor, Sandra ; Christophersen, Peter ; Scheepers, Kelly ; Woodward, Emma ; Ligtermoet, Emma ; Melo, Lizandra F.C. / Understanding climate-change adaptation on Kakadu National Park, using a combined diagnostic and modelling framework : A case study at Yellow Water wetland. In: Marine and Freshwater Research. 2018 ; Vol. 69, No. 7. pp. 1146-1158.
@article{fcbd0e69768a4e2e9c570f9f284cd55a,
title = "Understanding climate-change adaptation on Kakadu National Park, using a combined diagnostic and modelling framework: A case study at Yellow Water wetland",
abstract = "This paper describes a semi-quantitative approach for the assessment of sea-level rise (SLR) impacts on social-ecological systems (SES), using Yellow Water wetland on Kakadu National Park as a case study. The approach includes the application of a diagnostic framework to portray the existing SES configuration, including governance structures, in combination with qualitative modelling and Bayesian belief networks. Although SLR is predicted to cause saltwater inundation of freshwater ecosystems, cultural sites and built infrastructure, our study suggested that it may provide also an opportunity to bring together Indigenous and non-Indigenous knowledge and governance systems, towards a commonly perceived threat. Where feasible, mitigation actions such as levees may be required to manage local SLR impacts to protect important freshwater values. In contrast, adaptation will require strategies that facilitate participation by Kakadu Bininj (the Aboriginal people of Kakadu National Park) in research and monitoring programs that enhance understanding of salinity impacts and the adaptive capacity to respond to reasonably rapid, profound and irreversible future landscape-scale changes.",
keywords = "Bininj, Feedback, Ramsar, Resilience, Uncertainty, World heritage",
author = "Dutra, {Leo X.C.} and Peter Bayliss and Sandra McGregor and Peter Christophersen and Kelly Scheepers and Emma Woodward and Emma Ligtermoet and Melo, {Lizandra F.C.}",
year = "2018",
month = "1",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1071/MF16166",
language = "English",
volume = "69",
pages = "1146--1158",
journal = "Marine Freshwater Research",
issn = "0067-1940",
publisher = "CSIRO Publishing",
number = "7",

}

Understanding climate-change adaptation on Kakadu National Park, using a combined diagnostic and modelling framework : A case study at Yellow Water wetland. / Dutra, Leo X.C.; Bayliss, Peter; McGregor, Sandra; Christophersen, Peter; Scheepers, Kelly; Woodward, Emma; Ligtermoet, Emma; Melo, Lizandra F.C.

In: Marine and Freshwater Research, Vol. 69, No. 7, 01.01.2018, p. 1146-1158.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - Understanding climate-change adaptation on Kakadu National Park, using a combined diagnostic and modelling framework

T2 - A case study at Yellow Water wetland

AU - Dutra, Leo X.C.

AU - Bayliss, Peter

AU - McGregor, Sandra

AU - Christophersen, Peter

AU - Scheepers, Kelly

AU - Woodward, Emma

AU - Ligtermoet, Emma

AU - Melo, Lizandra F.C.

PY - 2018/1/1

Y1 - 2018/1/1

N2 - This paper describes a semi-quantitative approach for the assessment of sea-level rise (SLR) impacts on social-ecological systems (SES), using Yellow Water wetland on Kakadu National Park as a case study. The approach includes the application of a diagnostic framework to portray the existing SES configuration, including governance structures, in combination with qualitative modelling and Bayesian belief networks. Although SLR is predicted to cause saltwater inundation of freshwater ecosystems, cultural sites and built infrastructure, our study suggested that it may provide also an opportunity to bring together Indigenous and non-Indigenous knowledge and governance systems, towards a commonly perceived threat. Where feasible, mitigation actions such as levees may be required to manage local SLR impacts to protect important freshwater values. In contrast, adaptation will require strategies that facilitate participation by Kakadu Bininj (the Aboriginal people of Kakadu National Park) in research and monitoring programs that enhance understanding of salinity impacts and the adaptive capacity to respond to reasonably rapid, profound and irreversible future landscape-scale changes.

AB - This paper describes a semi-quantitative approach for the assessment of sea-level rise (SLR) impacts on social-ecological systems (SES), using Yellow Water wetland on Kakadu National Park as a case study. The approach includes the application of a diagnostic framework to portray the existing SES configuration, including governance structures, in combination with qualitative modelling and Bayesian belief networks. Although SLR is predicted to cause saltwater inundation of freshwater ecosystems, cultural sites and built infrastructure, our study suggested that it may provide also an opportunity to bring together Indigenous and non-Indigenous knowledge and governance systems, towards a commonly perceived threat. Where feasible, mitigation actions such as levees may be required to manage local SLR impacts to protect important freshwater values. In contrast, adaptation will require strategies that facilitate participation by Kakadu Bininj (the Aboriginal people of Kakadu National Park) in research and monitoring programs that enhance understanding of salinity impacts and the adaptive capacity to respond to reasonably rapid, profound and irreversible future landscape-scale changes.

KW - Bininj

KW - Feedback

KW - Ramsar

KW - Resilience

KW - Uncertainty

KW - World heritage

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85048938276&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1071/MF16166

DO - 10.1071/MF16166

M3 - Article

VL - 69

SP - 1146

EP - 1158

JO - Marine Freshwater Research

JF - Marine Freshwater Research

SN - 0067-1940

IS - 7

ER -