Secular Stagnation: Determinants and Consequences for Australia

Grace Taylor, Rod Tyers

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)


Slack OECD economic performance and weaker macroeconomic policy support Summers's reuse of the phrase 'secular stagnation'. Globalisation has redirected growth towards emerging economies, and anticipated rates of return on investment are impaired by perceived risk, institutionalised risk aversion, ageing and dependency, declining commitments to public investment and research and development with rising shares directed to health, retained trade distortions, industrial concentration and slower human capital accumulation, not to mention unexpected global abundance of fossil fuels and a slower Chinese economy. The information and literature supporting these concerns is reviewed and implications for global and Australian policy are inferred.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)615-650
Number of pages36
JournalEconomic Record
Issue number303
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2017


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