On the Existence of a Middle-Income Trap

Longfeng Ye, Peter Robertson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)


© 2016 Economic Society of AustraliaThe concept of a ‘middle-income trap’ has attracted enormous interest, but the existing literature lacks formal tests. We develop and apply a test of some necessary conditions for a country to be in a middle-income trap that take into account short-run dynamics, stochastic trends and structural breaks. We find that only seven countries satisfy our definition of a middle income trap.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)173-189
Number of pages17
JournalEconomic Record
Issue number297
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2016


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