TY - JOUR
T1 - Long-term survival across Breslow thickness categories
T2 - findings from a population-based study of 210 042 Australian melanoma patients
AU - Lo, Serigne N.
AU - Williams, Gabrielle J.
AU - Cust, Anne E.
AU - Varey, Alexander H. R.
AU - Ch'ng, Sydney
AU - Scolyer, Richard A.
AU - Thompson, John F.
PY - 2025/1/1
Y1 - 2025/1/1
N2 - The prognosis of a patient with a primary cutaneous melanoma is known to be related to the Breslow thickness of their tumor. This study sought to determine long-term (30-year) survival rates for the 4 American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition T categories by analyzing Australian registry data for 210 042 melanoma patients diagnosed from 1982 to 2014. The 30-year incidence rates of death due to melanoma and nonmelanoma (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were 7.1% (95% CI = 6.9% to 7.3%) and 32.8% (95% CI = 32.3% to 33.3%), respectively. For T2 melanomas, the corresponding rates were 21.6% (95% CI = 21.0% to 22.3%) and 35.6% (95% CI = 34.7% to 36.6%), for T3 melanomas 34.2% (95% CI = 33.4% to 35.1%) and 39.6% (95% CI = 38.5% to 40.8%), and for T4 melanomas 44.3% (95% CI = 43.2% to 45.3%) and 39.6% (95% CI = 38.3% to 41.0%). A plateau in melanoma-related deaths occurred in T4 patients after 20 years, but there were ongoing melanoma-related deaths for the other T categories beyond 30 years. A progressive rise in the risk of death from other causes occurred across all T categories.
AB - The prognosis of a patient with a primary cutaneous melanoma is known to be related to the Breslow thickness of their tumor. This study sought to determine long-term (30-year) survival rates for the 4 American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition T categories by analyzing Australian registry data for 210 042 melanoma patients diagnosed from 1982 to 2014. The 30-year incidence rates of death due to melanoma and nonmelanoma (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were 7.1% (95% CI = 6.9% to 7.3%) and 32.8% (95% CI = 32.3% to 33.3%), respectively. For T2 melanomas, the corresponding rates were 21.6% (95% CI = 21.0% to 22.3%) and 35.6% (95% CI = 34.7% to 36.6%), for T3 melanomas 34.2% (95% CI = 33.4% to 35.1%) and 39.6% (95% CI = 38.5% to 40.8%), and for T4 melanomas 44.3% (95% CI = 43.2% to 45.3%) and 39.6% (95% CI = 38.3% to 41.0%). A plateau in melanoma-related deaths occurred in T4 patients after 20 years, but there were ongoing melanoma-related deaths for the other T categories beyond 30 years. A progressive rise in the risk of death from other causes occurred across all T categories.
UR - https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=uwapure5-25&SrcAuth=WosAPI&KeyUT=WOS:001314136700001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS_CPL
U2 - 10.1093/jnci/djae198
DO - 10.1093/jnci/djae198
M3 - Article
C2 - 39245462
SN - 0027-8874
VL - 117
SP - 152
EP - 156
JO - Journal of the National Cancer Institute
JF - Journal of the National Cancer Institute
IS - 1
M1 - djae198
ER -