Export survival pattern and its determinants: An empirical study of Chinese manufacturing firms

While empirical studies of export entry have proliferated, less attention has been devoted to the study of export survival in foreign markets. This paper explores the patterns and determinants of export survival using data on Chinese manufacturing firms for the period 1998-2007. The analytical methods used include non-parametric techniques and the estimation of a discrete-time duration model. Our results show the high probability of exit of exporters at the start of the period. We also find that large, highly productive and more export-oriented firms are more likely to export for a longer period. In addition, foreign ownership is found to be an important determinant of export survival, while state ownership increases the risk of export failure. © 2014 Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University and Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd.