TY - JOUR
T1 - Explaining offenders’ longitudinal product-specific target selection through changes in disposability, availability, and value: an open-source intelligence web-scraping approach
AU - Quinn, Liam
AU - Clare, Joe
AU - Lindley, Jade
AU - Morgan, Francis
PY - 2022/12
Y1 - 2022/12
N2 - AbstractObjective: To address the gap in the literature and using a novel open-source intelligence web-scraping approach, this paper investigates the longitudinal relationships between availability, value, and disposability, and stealing countsof specific makes and models of gaming consoles.Methods: Using data from Western Australia (2012–2019) and focusing on specific makes/models of gaming consoles, the relationships between product-specific stealing counts, availability, value, and disposability were examined using time series and cross-sectional analyses.Results: Support was found for a positive relationship between the changing disposability of specific makes/models of gaming consoles over their lifecycle with corresponding stealing counts, above and beyond changes in availabilityand value. However, when these attributes were analysed statically, both disposability and value were important.Conclusions: The results highlight the importance of measuring correlates of ‘hot products’ longitudinally to better understand ofenders’ target selection preferences over time—with important implications for theft risk assessmentand crime prevention policy and practice. These findings also provide support for the use of similar open-source intelligence web-scraping strategies as a suitable technique for capturing time-specific proxies for product-specific valueand disposability.
AB - AbstractObjective: To address the gap in the literature and using a novel open-source intelligence web-scraping approach, this paper investigates the longitudinal relationships between availability, value, and disposability, and stealing countsof specific makes and models of gaming consoles.Methods: Using data from Western Australia (2012–2019) and focusing on specific makes/models of gaming consoles, the relationships between product-specific stealing counts, availability, value, and disposability were examined using time series and cross-sectional analyses.Results: Support was found for a positive relationship between the changing disposability of specific makes/models of gaming consoles over their lifecycle with corresponding stealing counts, above and beyond changes in availabilityand value. However, when these attributes were analysed statically, both disposability and value were important.Conclusions: The results highlight the importance of measuring correlates of ‘hot products’ longitudinally to better understand ofenders’ target selection preferences over time—with important implications for theft risk assessmentand crime prevention policy and practice. These findings also provide support for the use of similar open-source intelligence web-scraping strategies as a suitable technique for capturing time-specific proxies for product-specific valueand disposability.
KW - CRAVED
KW - offender decision-making
KW - Partial product life cycles
KW - Stealing
KW - Target selection
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85125464135&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1186/s40163-022-00164-1
DO - 10.1186/s40163-022-00164-1
M3 - Article
SN - 2193-7680
VL - 11
JO - Crime Science
JF - Crime Science
IS - 1
M1 - 2
ER -